Wizard Of Odds Bovada Blackjack
- I have a question about the wizardofodds blackjack card counter game on the web site maybe somebody can answer. Does it account for cards already dealt as in a real game? For example, if the count is high am i more likely to be dealt an ace or ten OR if i play a million hands am i likely to get an accurate win rate?
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Here are some examples of the odds I've experienced at Bovada: 160-160-160-9-6 Double Jackpot Poker, returning 99.63%; 35-8 All American, returning 99.60%; Full-Pay Jacks or Better, returning 99.54%; Six other video poker games returning over 99%; Single-zero roulette; Two blackjack variants with a house edge under 0.2%; Bovada's Online Poker.
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Whomever thinks this RTG BJ software is 100% random I have a +EV betting situation for you.
Because we will probably never get in enough big bets to prove anything a side bet will have to do. I don't believe counting the % of winning hands VS losing hands is a valid test, especially flat betting small amounts.
I always had a significant amount of disproportional big bets lose. For instance. Lets say I'm playing .50 VP then suddenly I decide to play a $100 hand of BJ. You guessed it, I have NEVER won a hand doing that.
When betting small $1-$5 It seems to play 'normal' of course you eventually lose. Anytime I have ever played bigger bets I go on the most horrible runs ever.
You use YOUR money to play.
You play a series of $1 bets, at some point I'll ask you to jump your bet to $100+.
I'll make you a side bet (my bet is that you will lose) and give you odds for an amount that puts you at a 1.5% advantage on each hand.
Anyone can quit wherever they wish.
This is quite an allegation. You are saying Bovada has a rigged BJ game, correct? Or am I misinterpreting your stance?
This is quite an allegation. You are saying Bovada has a rigged BJ game, correct? Or am I misinterpreting your stance?
First off I want to say BOVADA is a GREAT online casino. IMO it's the best online casino. I wouldn't hesitate recommending it or depositing and playing there myself. People have done very well on slots and VP, especially with the bonuses and promotions. I'm sure people have won on BJ as well, I just don't know anyone.Unfortunately their bonus program went from one of the best to one of the worst recently. Hopefully they will change it back but that's doubtful.
If it was just me alone after a few bad sessions or someone all riled up due to sour grapes(Its absolutely not sour grapes for me, because BV has been good overall) I would just chalk it up to bad variance. I know far to many level headed people who seem to think the same thing. I have zero proof or enough solid data, there's a possibility everyone I know, including me, is just tripping.
None the less, I'm saying I'm willing to make bets on the outcome while giving a 1.5% advantage on certain individual BJ hands just as I stated before, until someone cry's uncle.
Even if I win my side bets, it certainly proves nothing.
I'm not sure how many disproportional big bets you would have to lose to prove anything.
I'm not sure how sophisticated rigged software can get but i'm sure it can be programmed to do some amazing stuff and even detect players betting patterns.
I would love to see what would happen if you got 5 people with BV accounts and had them deposit $500-$1000 each. Then bet as I described before.
PS. I would be more than happy to be wrong and there's a chance I am.
Administrator
If you wish to make an accusation of unfair play, I think the burden of evidence is on you to prove it.
I guess this all boils down to, lets say I do get proof and I do have conclusive evidence. What then? Is there a legal channel for recourse? Does the administrator/wizard actually know someone who is higher up in the Bovada ranks that might could answer some real questions? All I can get from vip support is the canned 'it looks like you are just experiencing bad luck'.
I know out there somewhere, is the software development team that made the software, that actually did the coding .. they know for sure.
Administrator
I guess this all boils down to, lets say I do get proof and I do have conclusive evidence. What then? Free money no deposit casino list.
You can file a complaint with the Kahnawake Gaming Commission.
You can file a complaint with the Kahnawake Gaming Commission.
Who pays their bills? Are they a non profit organization?Are they the same people who were auditing Ultimate Bet and Absolute poker at the time of the cheating scandal ? How long did that all go on? I'm certain people were complaining of cheating prior to the proof. I heard that players could see your cards long before. Did everyone get paid their money when that happened or when they shut down?
How does Kahnawake test the software? How often do they test?
I'm curious, who's auditing the auditors?
You can file a complaint with the Kahnawake Gaming Commission.
That's it? In past cases, you'd write an article with your analysis. In a case where you didn't trust the source's data, you'd play anonymously and collect your own data. What's different here?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hbvj48Jne3U
1. I know Wizard of Odds said he personally certified the Blackjack at Bodog/Bovada to be fair, but is that just a win/loss percentage check after x hands?
2. Is the outcome of the hand predetermined by the pRNG? Meaning, it wouldn't matter how the hand is played if action is taken without busting, the winner is already known.
Seems to me you could pass the pRNG test for hands won/loss, but adjust or force outcomes on premium double down hands to make the blackjack 'handicapped' over long term.
Also:
- Yes I know this has been beaten to death, but I feel like analytically I am digging a little deeper here.
- Yes I play in land based casinos all the time and I realize online you are seeing many times over the number of hands you could see live.
- Yes I know it is not to Bovada's advantage to offer a game that is 'rigged'. However, it is definitely to their advantage to ensure their system cannot be beaten.
- Yes I know its a continuous shuffle, and card counting doesn't apply.
First, you'll need to post your data so that it can be analyzed and real numbers tests, such as what you're saying with the streaks/etc can be determined.
Next, your data will be questioned unless it's a video log of your screen while you play. People with grievances or whatever could/would fudge some of the numbers and possibly give bovada a scare, reputation hit, or whatever.
After getting a large, untamperable, sampling size then the real math can be worked on and proven/disproved. Until then I can agree with you all day but it won't actually account for much or mean anything unfortunately =/. You do seem like you have a fairly good idea of things too.
Administrator
Wizard Of Odds Blackjack Strategy Card
Wizard Of Odds Blackjack Chart
A couple of random thoughts. If the win/loss/tie percentage is right on expectation, I'm not sure how much interest there would be in the journey, as far as crunching the numbers/labor cost. However, there have been member requests before for large data files of hands from a consistent source, and it might be very much appreciated if you shared yours. Hold off on doing that for the moment, though; it's just a thought.Is the outcome of the hand predetermined by the pRNG?
No. What's random is how the cards are drawn. Depending on how it's programmed, either the entire virtual deck is shuffled randomly and then the cards are drawn off the top (which is CPU-intensive), or the cards are drawn randomly from an unshelled deck (which is much faster and simpler, and how I do it when I program simulations).
Administrator
No. What's random is how the cards are drawn. Depending on how it's programmed, either the entire virtual deck is shuffled randomly and then the cards are drawn off the top (which is CPU-intensive), or the cards are drawn randomly from an unshelled deck (which is much faster and simpler, and how I do it when I program simulations).
What is an 'unshelled deck'?
What is an 'unshelled deck'?
I think he means un-shuffled, imagine 13 cards in order (obv theres more than 13 in a deck), if the RNG picks 8 it equals an 8, 13 = K and so on.
In my programming I shuffle the deck and draw off the top, in theory its the same thing, but I like to mimic real life as much as possible.
Administrator
One thing I thought would be interesting is what if they made the win/loss %'s correct, but as the OP said the streaks are horrific (in both directions) so that you have losing streaks you simply can't sustain. That would keep the %'s correct but still be a 'rigged' game.
It occurs to me that if the overall medium term win/lose ratio is correct, but that they bias it towards player losing on high value hands, then wouldn't they have to counter balance that by rigging to pay out a larger proportion of hands where stakes are low? Wouldn't that give small scale betters an advantage.
Or do they do like VW and only un-rig it for audits.
Because we will probably never get in enough big bets to prove anything a side bet will have to do. I don't believe counting the % of winning hands VS losing hands is a valid test, especially flat betting small amounts.
I always had a significant amount of disproportional big bets lose. For instance. Lets say I'm playing .50 VP then suddenly I decide to play a $100 hand of BJ. You guessed it, I have NEVER won a hand doing that.
When betting small $1-$5 It seems to play 'normal' of course you eventually lose. Anytime I have ever played bigger bets I go on the most horrible runs ever.
You use YOUR money to play.
You play a series of $1 bets, at some point I'll ask you to jump your bet to $100+.
I'll make you a side bet (my bet is that you will lose) and give you odds for an amount that puts you at a 1.5% advantage on each hand.
Anyone can quit wherever they wish.
Administrator
Whomever thinks this RTG BJ software is 100% random I have a +EV betting situation for you.
I'll make you a side bet (my bet is that you will lose) and give you odds for an amount that puts you at a 1.5% advantage on each hand.
Anyone can quit wherever they wish.
You must be pretty convinced it's VERY gaffed to offer that wager. I'll pass.